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Leakage-Aware Benchmarking of LLM Forecasting: Real-Time Nowcasts as the Decision-Time Input for Macro Factor Ranking

Forecasting benchmarks for retrieval-augmented LLMs routinely confound model capability with information leakage: features labeled with a target's timestamp are often not observable at the system's decision time. We study leakage-controlled equity factor rank...

Topic: Open Source LLMs Source: arXiv · arxiv.org Published 2026-06-21 23:36 UTC Fetched 2026-06-23 17:18 UTC

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Score 60 Source Type arxiv Reposts 0 Topic Quality 49

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